When the New York Times decides to try and discredit John McIntyre you know the imbeciles there have finally jumped the big shark.
How America’s Accurate Election Polls Were Covered Up
by Matt Taibi
John McIntyre couldn’t believe it. The publisher of the Real Clear Polling National Average, America’s first presidential poll aggregator, woke on October 31st to see his product denounced in the New York Times. Launched in 2002 and long a mainstay of campaign writers and news consumers alike, the RCP average, he learned, was part of a “torrent” of partisan rubbish being “weaponized” to “deflate Democrats’ enthusiasm” and “undermine faith in the entire system.”
“They actually wrote that our problem was we didn’t weight results,” says an incredulous McIntyre. “That we didn’t put a thumb on the scale.”
but here is where we start lining them up for the guillotines,
Six months ago, when former Wikipedia chief Katherine Maher became CEO of NPR, video emerged of her talking about strategies at Wikipedia. She said the company eventually abandoned its “free and open” mantra when she realized “this radical openness… did not end up living into the intentionality of what openness can be.” Free and open “recapitulated” too many of the same “power structures,” resulting in too much emphasis on the “Western canon,” the “written tradition,” and “this white male, Westernized construct around who matters.”
Oh, but wait, look what happened…
Every major aggregate, that is, but RCP. McIntyre’s site was removed on October 11th, after Wikipedia editors decided it had a “strong Republican bias” that made it “suspect,” even though it didn’t conduct any polls itself, merely listing surveys and averaging them. One editor snootily insisted, “Pollsters should have a pretty spotless reputation. I say leave them out.” After last week’s election, when RCP for the third presidential cycle in a row proved among the most accurate of the averages, Wikipedia quietly restored RCP.
and this one,
Because it appeared on the scene years before Mark Blumenthal’s Pollster.com (2006) and Silver’s original FiveThirtyEight (2008), the Real Clear average has a long tradition of use by reporters; MediaShift in 2008 called RCP the “ultimate political aggregator.” But the Times in 2020 wrote a piece skewering it for a “hard right turn,” saying it “seemed skewed by polls that have been ‘a bit kinder to Trump.’” This year’s Times piece was even more harsh. As evidence that its “incentive is not necessarily to get things right,” as one of the paper’s sources put it, the Times cited RCP’s “No Tossups” map, which “currently shows [Donald] Trump winning every swing state,” as if this were inherently absurd.
“It was put out on Halloween, the week before the election,” McIntyre says. “They said, ‘Yeah, they had this crazy map that shows Trump winning all swing states.”
all the Leftists are tampering to receive the results they want,
Start with a basic fact: major aggregators like 270toWin, Silver Bulletin, 538, and the Cook Political Report, while useful, are not the uncomplicated averages many customers imagine them to be. “A poll average is simple,” says McIntyre. “You add polls up, and you divide by the number.”
But the “reputable” or “nonpartisan” averages are different. “Those are really models, but they don’t call them that,” McIntyre says. “The New York Times had an average and the Washington Post had one, but they’re not really averages. They’re more like, ‘This is where we want to say the race is.’”
Most “averages” or “aggregates” have pages that explain how they weight results, though the exact recipe is usually a mystery. The Times in September explained in a general way how it weights pollsters. To an unspecified degree it favors track records of “unbiased and accurate results” (note the term “accurate” isn’t by itself). It also upgrades for “professionalism,” which to the Times among other things means an average that “contributes microdata” to Cornell’s Roper Center or is a member of the American Association for Public Opinion Research.
Coming, my little chickadee.
The Packers were supposed to lose to the San Francisco gang according to the experts, but the Packers ran them out of Lambeau Field and half of the way home by the time the game ended. It was a sight to behold. And on top of it, it was cold today up there. Fall is definitely there now and Winter… Read more »
The Week in Pictures: Dance Craze Transition Edition
Malone’s Sunday Strip – his version of a Sunday WIP. Did we ever post the WIP from Powerline?
https://www.malone.news/p/sunday-strip-the-ghost-of-future?publication_id=583200&post_id=152095130&isFreemail=true&r=pn3fy&triedRedirect=true
This is a story out of The London Times so you know it takes more than a grain of salt. Donald Trump is planning an executive order that would lead to the removal of all transgender members of the US military, defence sources say.The order could come on his first day back in the White House, January 20. There are… Read more »
Phil at 5:18 PM
Yes, Teodor Currentzis is an amazing conductor. Everyone should watch the concert in your link.
This is the original The Cleverlys version of Walk Like an Egyptian I posted on Lone Star Times 15 years ago and shocked Benzion and Bramanti into speechlessness.
Remind me later to explain why Fauci will never see the inside of a courtroom.
Here is a hint
A hillbilly take on Walk Like an Egyptian. Skip to 1:17
It has a stand up bass, so it has to be good.
Quite the contrast from that Highbrow Dr. phil Good stuff.
You wanna get cultivated?
Watch this.
best conductor ever.
Tedor Currentzis.
Phenomenal.
Verdi’s Requiem.
by George, Bentley ole boy.
Call Belvedere too.
kiss and Tom Jones better watch out.
now pass the Grey Poupon, Triscuits and caviar.
This is the X post from Gaetz I forgot to link to in my 7:58 AM comment.
Wagonburner
I tried to find the news item, but ran out of time. Putin notified the US government prior to launching the ICBM missile with non-nuclear warhead into Ukraine following anti-nuclear proliferation treaties we have with them. I’m glad to know they’re still pretending to abide by treaties.
It’s the end of an era here. This home has hosted Thanksgiving dinners for at least 30 years in a row, 22 of which I’ve brined turkeys and cooked for guests. This year we will be going to our daughter’s home and our closest friends will be going to their children’s homes because it’s easier on the younger mothers and… Read more »
I had to make a run to the Pig but unlike yesterday, I wore my shorts and Tee shirt today. It may have been 36 when I got up but it’s 74 now. I do love living in the south. 😉
The jersey boss man after his musk buying msnbc prediction.
https://youtu.be/9bHXhRK-2kI?si=VKaaViBZ4n0QayOM
And now something totally different. If you are feeling insecure 6 Pray for the peace of Jerusalem: “May those who love you be secure. 7 May there be peace within your walls and security within your citadels.” 8 For the sake of my brothers and friends, I will say, “Peace be within you.” 9 For the sake of the house of the LORD… Read more »
This is amazingly good parody of Rachel Maddow being trolled by Elon Musk.
The physical condition of our US naval fleet is horrible and humiliating. Take a look at this ship.
Beege Wellborn, Cmdr Salamander and John Konrad are doing their best to embarrass the Navy into doing something about it.
Fallout from Musk buying MSNBC.
Good morning fellow couch dwellers. I stayed outside last night and lit a fire in my new firepit. Once it gets going, it works very well. It is round, made with limestone blocks mortared in place, built in air holes in the bottom. I must admit that I enjoyed a glass or two of Honeyshine. The evening was quiet and… Read more »
re: college football
Never bet on a game where the ball bounces funny.
I wondered what Trump would do with Grenell. He was excellent in his role as ambassador to Germany. He takes no lip from the Euros. WASHINGTON, Nov 22 (Reuters) – President-elect Donald Trump is considering tapping Richard Grenell, his former intelligence chief, to be a special envoy for the Russia-Ukraine conflict, according to four sources familiar with the transition plans.Grenell, who served as… Read more »
A message from Byrna: parking lot preparedness:
https://byrna.com/blogs/byrna-nation/byrna-pro-tip-holiday-parking-lots
Given my track record on predictions, I know y’all will find this shocking, but after Elon took my suggestion seriously to buy MSNBC, I have hit another home run.
All terrain robot.
I’m up and coffee’d. I must’ve done 5 miles walking yesterday. It was about a quarter mile from the car show site to the edge of the craft show, and walking through the craft show was probably a mile, up and down the streets, then the walk back. Show walking is slow, looking at the booths, stopping to shop (or… Read more »
At least 3 of the top 10 schools lost yesterday. However, Oklahoma wasn’t even ranked in the top 25 and they beat The Tide 24 to 3. Also, #4 ranked Penn State barely beat Minnesota. Who knew they even had a football team in Minnesota ?
SO! WTH is going on with college football? Texas defeats Kentucky, no surprise there but Oklahoma just stomps Alabama! BUT, wait! There’s more; Auburn beats Texas A&M!?! Auburn, a 5-6 team ?!?!
36 degrees for the third day in a row. OK I’ve had enough of winter.
Mornin’ Gang
Watched Oppenheimer. Great movie……. we are screwed
Now that’s a good question,…. 😀
CBS has been running promos on a 60 Minutes story tomorrow about the new University Of Austin.
Bound to be a hit piece.
Think about that
I saw a clip from “Demolition Man” in a podcast the other day, and since I’d never seen it, I thought I’d give it a try. Holy cow, I see what the liberal fantasy world would look like. And how incompetent and useless the liberals are to protect themselves. After you get past the part where Sly Stallone gets frozen… Read more »
I’m home and showered. I took some muscle relaxant because my back is sore from all the walking today and the stiffened up on the drive home. I found my annual Santa and a possible lead on a bunch of cheap beads for future rosaries. Turns out one of the resale shop owners in Crockett *just* sent off a huge… Read more »
I really miss Antonin Scalia and Waylon Jennings.
Fans storming the field is STUPID
I have no words,……
Texpat I.E. Turkey Brining Recipe, copied and saved, thanks.
It is going dark fast tonight as we’re partaking of key lime pie for dessert, which I did not make. My days of making holiday meals are long behind me. I am retired. 🙂
I saw a license plate: WOCNWOL
Till me as minute…. Then Lol
BTW, the big sticker on the back window of this morning’s old Chevy Wagon says, “Drunk On Lake Water”.
🙂
Still counting
votesballots in Californication 18 days after the election.totalitariancrat ballot fraud on steroids.
Fay gave me the basic recipe and I have tweaked it over the years. Here is the whole thing. Fay & Texpat’s Turkey Brining Recipe Ingredients: NOTE: It takes two people to easily and safely get the turkey into the bags with the brine. Large Oven Bags for 20-24 lb. Turkey (make sure you double bag) Wire Zip Ties – 2… Read more »
I am officially out of rosaries. And the sausage on a stick was delish. Good times.
The jersey boss man’s ode to Patty Shortcakes.
Attn; Texpat I guess I didn’t write down your Turkey Brining Recipe so could you share it again? If you remember I tried it last year and BIL said the turkey was the best he’d ever had. 😉
Interesting old footage on the eve of the day the deep state, swampy Vampyres of ‘63, took out LH Oswald so he wouldn’t and couldn’t sing like a bird.
Dang.
in ‘63 the jersey boss man was putting playing cards in his bicycle spokes and secretly smiling at braided, ponytailed, Patty Shortcakes in 5th grade math class.
Linda McMahon and Trump need to put a stop to this immediately. There were several reports I saw of students being angry when they started receiving endless robocalls and texts from Kamala. There are several ways university brass help stack the deck, but one primary method is by handing over massive reams of private student contact data to a third-party… Read more »