Hambone v3.0

Tuesday Open Comments

Follow the science!  Or not….

No End to Parallel Universes in Nutrition

 

How about a multiverse where nutritionists always get exactly the answer they want from their studies?

As Alpha Waymond might put it, sure.

This scenario is in fact our reality, according to a recent analysis published in The Journal of Clinical Epidemiology. Nutrition science, and particularly nutritional epidemiology, has a multiverse problem, the paper asserts, and it’s yet another reason to be very skeptical of this research.

/snip

At the heart of the multiverse problem in nutrition is a simple concept known as “analytical flexibility.” No consensus exists in nutrition science about how best to analyze data from the numerous epidemiological surveys that have appeared in the last 60 years to try to make sense of the diet-lifestyle-disease relationship. The epidemiologists have never done the necessary hard work to establish which of any number of strategies and techniques is reliably correct.

Any analytical strategy, as Zeraatkar explained in an interview, can involve hundreds, if not thousands of decisions, large and small, about how best to conduct an analysis.2 Hence, the uncertainty in the diet-health associations that these studies produce is not just about whether we can trust, for instance, that the self-reported dietary data accurately reflects what people really ate, but all the particular decision points made by the researchers doing these analyses. A different analytic technique or different decisions about how best to handle the data can produce different answers – a different multiverse of answers, in effect. Use one set of criteria, and the diet or lifestyle factor of interest will be associated with an increased risk of a particular disease; use a different set of criteria, and the reverse appears true.  How do we know which is right? Which multiverse is our reality, the one we’re living in?

/snip

One obvious implication was that researchers looking for publishable results could easily make the decisions – consciously or subconsciously – to get the results they wanted, whether or not that was the correct result.3

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66 responses to “Tuesday Open Comments”

  1. Super Dave Avatar
    Super Dave

    Well it’s going to be another fabulous day here, actually the whole week will be and I’ve been real busy. Yesterday was mowing day and I got about 90% finished before my big mower decided it was too tired to go on, (details later) so this morning I’ll get my old push mower out and finish up the yard at the farm House. Oh and my wife mowed the front yard here with her new Stihl and it looks good. Using the big mower on the hill, it doesn’t work as well since it cuts such a wide swath and leaves the grass uneven.
    In any case; Life is Good.
    Mornin’ Gang

  2. Texpat Avatar
    Texpat

    Speaking of cats. Where is MHarper ? We haven’t heard from her in a day or two.

  3. Texpat Avatar
    Texpat

    The Left’s highway to hell is paved with all their “good intentions.” People are going to get shot and killed over the stupidity of Democratic politicians.

    Real estate mogul Shawn Meaike is concerned how hard-working, well-intentioned Americans will handle squatting issues as they grow more and more desperate.

    “People are going to start taking matters into their own hands. That’s what we do when there is lawlessness,” Meaike told Fox News Digital.

     

    “Something really bad is going to happen,” he said. “Am I saying this right thing to do? No, I’m not.”

    Squatting, whereby strangers move into the properties of American homeowners and refuse to leave, has quickly become part of the zeitgeist as a series of news-making stories have shocked the nation. 

    1. Tedtam Avatar
      Tedtam

      Hubby and I were discussing this issue just last night. We have a house that we’re thinking about putting up for sale, and if the tenants move out, I brought up the subject of possible squatters. Hubby didn’t think it was an issue, but I told him the squatters don’t really care what part of the country it is. Then I suggested that we let Handyman move in temporarily, and move an abandoned car that we have into the driveway. That way it’ll look like someone’s there. He thought that was an excellent idea, and Handyman has lived in our vacant units while working on them already, so he’s used to it.

  4. Texpat Avatar
    Texpat

    At Instapundit:

    THE MORE HE RECOVERS FROM HIS BRAIN DAMAGE, THE LESS HE SOUNDS LIKE A DEMOCRAT: Fetterman: Biden Panders to the Fringe As He Distances U.S. From Israel.

    Posted at 7:21 am by Glenn Reynolds 

    There must be some conclusion we can draw from this…

  5. Texpat Avatar
    Texpat

    It’s really not difficult to have peace and order in the Public Square. They do it in Florida with decisiveness. This is from NPR after the Florida law was passed:

    Florida experienced little of the violence seen elsewhere in the country last summer following Floyd’s death. But Gov. Ron DeSantis said tougher laws were needed to make sure Florida doesn’t see the kind of protests that occurred in Minneapolis, Portland, Ore., and other cities. At the bill signing Monday, DeSantis said, “If you riot, if you loot, if you harm others, particularly if you harm a law enforcement officer during one of these violent assemblies, you’re going to jail.”

    The law increases penalties for protesters who block roadways or deface public monuments. It creates a new crime, “mob intimidation.” And it requires that anyone arrested at a protest be denied bail until their first court appearance, likely making for overnight jail stays.

    Check out the videos of Miami protests and the police response.

    1. Tedtam Avatar
      Tedtam

      That was a beautiful video.

  6. Texpat Avatar
    Texpat

    Artificial Intelligence and the use of algorithms in unseen ways is a hot media topic now, but we’ve been on the case for a long time, including almost a year ago how ‘Diversity in Recruiting’ at LinkedIn Implements Feature Allowing Recruiters to Find People by Their Demographics.

    You may remember our online event in July 2023, regarding Discrimination By Algorithm – the “ultimate showdown between equity and equality is going to take place at a technological level” IVIDEO at link], where we explored how bias was built in to achieve de facto racial and other quotas.

    This “discrimination by algorithm” problem was the subject of an Op-Ed by Kemberlee and me in The NY Post last month, Google’s Gemini AI Is Just The Tip Of The ‘Discrimination By Algorithm’ Bias Problem:

  7. Super Dave Avatar
    Super Dave

    Remember Boys N Girls don’t try this at home. https://static.xx.fbcdn.net/images/emoji.php/v9/t57/1/16/1f609.png As I mentioned earlier I was mowing the place yesterday and when I was almost finished (6 hours) my big zero turn mower decided it was just too tired to go on. The spring on the engine to transmission idler pulley broke and it threw the belt so it wasn’t going anywhere. I needed to load it up to take it to the mower shop but that would require some manual pushing to get it onto the trailer and it is dang heavy. I was by myself so I thought about using the wench on Kubota Mule to pull it on but that seemed like a lot of trouble so I hit on the idea of pushing it on with my tractor. I used a chain to get into position and then used the bucket to catch the front wheels and push it up the ramp. I carefully slid the blade under the front wheels and lifted it clear of the ramps as I pushed.The blade cradled the front wheels nicely. It all worked like a champ and only took a few minutes.

  8. Super Dave Avatar
    Super Dave

    My @ 8:43 AM “Awaiting Approval” I know, I used 2 links. 😉

  9. Super Dave Avatar
    Super Dave

    Oops! 😀

  10. Texpat Avatar
    Texpat

    Last weekend, 10 people were shot and one little girl was murdered in Chicago.

    Concurrently, Iran fired hundreds of drones, cruise and ballistic missiles at Israel. One little Bedouin girl was injured by shrapnel.

    It has been over 3 months since the mayor and city council of Chicago called for an immediate cease fire in Gaza and 126 people have been murdered there.

    The last time Chicago elected a Republican mayor was 1931, 93 years ago.

  11. Texpat Avatar
    Texpat

    From Not the Bee: These two stories were published on the same day a few weeks ago

    NBC NEWS / March 27, 2024

    Melting polar ice is slowing the Earth’s rotation, with possible consequences for timekeeping

    A new study found that ice loss caused by climate change is redistributing mass on the Earth enough to alter its spin.

    but wait, stop the presses !!!

    CBS NEWS / March 27, 2024

    Earth is spinning faster than it used to. Clocks might have to skip a second to keep up.

    Earth’s changing spin is threatening to toy with our sense of time, clocks and computerized society in an unprecedented way — but only for a second.

    For the first time in history, world timekeepers may have to consider subtracting a second from our clocks in a few years because the planet is rotating a tad faster than it used to. Clocks may have to skip a second — called a “negative leap second” — around 2029, a study in the journal Nature said Wednesday.

  12. Texpat Avatar
    Texpat

    Mexican NGO is openly involved in human trafficking and illegally interfering with American elections. They don’t even hide it.

    Welcome Migrants!

    The Resource Center is a complex of 6 offices that is home to HIAS, which provides legal assistance and assistance in obtaining formal documents for job search and integration into the city of Matamoros while they wait to access the asylum process in the US. We support the legal team by all possible means, including going to the camp to deliver documentation or gather people for consultations before their hearings. Reminder to vote for President Biden when you are in the United States. We need another four years of his term to stay open.

    Greetings,

    Founder Gaby Zavala

  13. squawkbox Avatar
    squawkbox

    I became a trucker because I found out that I do not play well with others. Here is why I do not play well with others.
    Everyone is allowed to act stupid once in a while, but too many people really abuse the privilege.

  14. squawkbox Avatar
    squawkbox

    Liberals are the reason this country has to put directions on shampoo bottles.

  15. squawkbox Avatar
    squawkbox

    Politicians should really come with a warning label. 

  16. squawkbox Avatar
    squawkbox

    San Fran Nan’s incubator had tinted glass.

  17. squawkbox Avatar
    squawkbox

    Now I know why Liberals walk around free of prosecution.
    Stupidity isn’t a crime

    1. Tedtam Avatar
      Tedtam

      It should be, but we don’t have enough prison space. Maybe community service or restriction of welfare benefits would smarten some folks up.

  18. Tedtam Avatar
    Tedtam

    Finished making/praying my rosary, then finished cleaning my oven. I ran the self-cleaning cycle yesterday, but the racks have always been a PITA to clean. My Midwest Magic Cleaning guy uses a product called “Clean Freak” so I decided to give it a try.

    It’s magic! I was able to get my racks clean with a little elbow grease and a scrubby pad. They were a lot worse than I’d thought, so I had to reapply the Clean Freak a coupla times to get through the layers of grease.

    My oven is so purdy now, I almost don’t want to cook in it.

  19. Tedtam Avatar
    Tedtam

    This is wrong on so many levels: American NGO encouraging illegals to vote for Biden:

    An advocacy group based in Northeastern Mexico that lobbies U.S. lawmakers has distributed and posted flyers encouraging illegal immigrants to vote for President Joe Biden in the 2024 election, according to The Heritage Foundation’s Oversight Project.

    Translated from Spanish, the Oversight Project notes, the flyers posted by the organization Resource Center Matamoros say: “Reminder to vote for President Biden when you are in the United States. We need another four years of his term to stay open.” (The Daily Signal is Heritage’s news and commentary outlet.)

    h/t CFP

    1. Texpat Avatar
      Texpat

      Like minds…(<;

      1. Tedtam Avatar
        Tedtam

        Did I miss a post of yours?! Dangit!

        I see it now. I guess earlier my eyes just refused to see it.

  20. Tedtam Avatar
    Tedtam

    I’m reading the C&C roundup, and there’s so much “yep, yep, I know” and “good news!” in it:

    Good morning, C&C, it’s Tuesday! Your roundup today includes: Trump trial updates; Ukraine feels unpopular since Israel is getting all the attention; story teasing robots shows new, more serious problems for Ukraine and … Nazis!; national traffic shutdown infrastructure attack fails in red states; FBI investigation shows conspiracy theorists smarter than corporate media reporters; and great legal developments in the culture war to protect kids from predatory transgender doctors and activists.

  21. Texpat Avatar
    Texpat

    Why the Self-Cleaning Oven Cycle Will Destroy Your Range

    We recently had the service guy come and install new high-temp burner on the stovetop. I had ordered the part, but I had a problem uninstalling the burner. It turned out too much heat had warped it.

    Anyway, he told us to never use the self-cleaning setting on the oven. The internal digital controls on all stoves over the past 20 years or so were never designed to withstand the heat. He said he has seen countless ruined ranges with controls over the years fried by the intense heat from the self-cleaning cycle. The service tech has been doing this for 30 years and he tells all of his customers the same thing no matter the brand.

    He added it is bad design flaw and the manufacturers continue to ignore the problem because it usually happens after the warranty expires and the customer has to, guess what, fork over the cash for a new unit.

    1. Tedtam Avatar
      Tedtam

      Our oven is a standalone, in-wall unit. No burners atop to be burned. But that’s good to know, since we have the oven/cooktop ranges in our units.

  22. Dr phil Good-E=1984 Avatar
    Dr phil Good-E=1984

    “My faith informs everything I do.” Said by the phony preacher.

    The phony fisa approving, without a warrant, speaker of the house, phony preacher is set to throw the game again.

    I never knew that his faith informed him to backstab, lie, cheat, and let the invasion of the country continue and with all the destruction it brings.

    drugs, human trafficking, loss of life on a major scale and all the while wanting to send billions more to Ukraine to fuel more death and destruction there.

    they must really have something on this dude to make him fall so far so fast.

    he makes dirty dan Crenshaw look like St Peter.

  23. squawkbox Avatar
    squawkbox

    Israel signals they will retaliate against the Iranians after they figure out how to do it without escalating to a regional war.

    My response: Pray tell me how Israel can do that? Iran would have to not respond. Iran’s stated reason for this round of missiles was in retaliation for the bombing of that “embassy” (note quotation marks) which was Israel’s retaliation for Hezbollah missiles etc. Are we looking at a prolonged period of tit for tat reactions. BTW Iran said they have finished what they intended to do.

  24. Shannon Avatar
    Shannon

    Israel and Iran have been going at it in the shadows for years. Israel has many ways to respond should they decided to do so.

  25. Shannon Avatar
    Shannon

    I wonder if Clean Freak would work on the glass door of my small oven? I let it go too long and can’t find anything that works, so far.
    I can’t use anything abrasive.

    1. Tedtam Avatar
      Tedtam

      I used it on my oven glass and it didn’t seem to affect it. Except the doors are cleaner.

  26. Tedtam Avatar
    Tedtam

    Update on the Mellencamp story: he was not discussing politics, but was talking about his grandmother when someone essentially told him to shut up and sing. That’s why he walked off the stage.

  27. Texpat Avatar
    Texpat

    CORRECTION:

    The story I linked to 10:59 AM and Tedtam linked to at 12:33 PM about the Mexican NGO urging illegal aliens to vote for Biden appears to be FAKE.

    There are only a few bona fide journalists out there and Bill Melugin is one of them.

    Bill Melugin of Fox News has done more deep reporting on the border disaster than any other reporter on earth says it is not real:

    I am extremely skeptical of this. The flier appears to be a word for word Google Translate copy & paste of a portion of the NGO’s English website, with “vote for Biden” randomly added in at the end, when it does not appear on the site. The translation is bad, then you have “bienvenidos” spelled wrong and “todos con Biden” added onto the flier with a Biden logo.

    There’s plenty of controversy with some NGO’s, but this flier seems fake or doctored, even at first glance. 

    Side by side (bad) translation. Nothing about Biden appears on the website. It was ripped/pasted and then the Biden stuff was added at the end of it. 

  28. Shannon Avatar
    Shannon
    I became a trucker because I found out that I do not play well with others. Here is why I do not play well with others.
Everyone is allowed to act stupid once in a while, but too many people really abuse the privilege. - SQK

    Heh. My late brother-in-law said the same thing when he returned from serving in VietNam. He walked away from his PhD in Soil Science from Texas A&M.
    
    Preferred the sweet solitude of being an owner-operator.

    1. squawkbox Avatar
      squawkbox

      There is nothing better in this world IMO than that sweet solitude to be found in a tractor trailer. Funny I got that way too right after I separated from Uncle Sam’s Animal Farm.

      I served during Ford’s and Jimmy Carter’s tenure. Not Vietnam but just about as tumultuous.

      1. Shannon Avatar
        Shannon

        He was Army Staff Sergeant. Spent a few years wandering around the jungles of SE Asia getting shot at. (Late 60’s.)
        He was 6ft 6in. Being the tallest man in that jungle was not an advantage.

  29. Shannon Avatar
    Shannon

    I never found the original Mellencamp story.

  30. squawkbox Avatar
    squawkbox

    Here Shannon

    John Mellencamp hits BACK after shock viral video showed him launch expletive-laden tirade at hecklers – before storming off stage: ‘I expect etiquette!’

  31. Texpat Avatar
    Texpat

    Everything I’ve been involved in throughout my life has involved trucks and trailers, 18 wheelers to one-ton pickups/gooseneck rigs and even a small fleet of box trucks.

    Some of the happiest times of my life were riding the highways alone in the middle of the night somewhere in Texas, Louisiana, New Mexico, Tennessee or Oklahoma listening to my favorite music and enjoying the solitude. The best swamper I ever had was my dog Jake.

  32. Shannon Avatar
    Shannon

    Thanks, Squawk. Melencamp has always been something of an enigma. I’ve always had great respect for his songwriting abilities. And he’s always tread his own path without regard to the opinions of others. We probably would never see eye to eye on politics but I’d still like to spend an evening eating a fine dinner and drinking good wine with him.

    1. squawkbox Avatar
      squawkbox

      I love Mellencamp except his politics….. but I do not care. I am a huge fan of CSNY as a group and solo they are nothing but politics. I like their music. I too could sit and chat with Mel and/or CS with no concern about politics.

      1. Shannon Avatar
        Shannon

        Amen.
        especially Stills. And Young. And even Nash.

  33. Shannon Avatar
    Shannon

    Hey Super Dave
    Have you ever flown on a Canadian Bomdardier 900 regional jet?

    1. Super Dave Avatar
      Super Dave

      Nope, I’ve been on an Embraer ERJ 145 but I think it’s a little smaller.

  34. Tedtam Avatar
    Tedtam

    All hell is about to break loose:

    Indiana National Guard member reportedly shot at migrant stabbing others

  35. Shannon Avatar
    Shannon

    I probably should ask GJT’s wife about flying on that type of regional jet.

    Surely she and her girlfriend(s) don’t actually drive the ten hours to Memphis every year to light a candle for Elvis?

  36. Shannon Avatar
    Shannon

    At least it isn’t another insulting Big Pharma commercial, but there’s a new Bunion Surgery commercial that is very close to being as annoying as the Dancing Chubby Chick Ozempic commercial.
    Fair Warning.

  37. Adee Avatar
    Adee

    Checking in and out fast because today was filled with dentist appointments for both of us and afterwards having a late lunch and a couple of errands kept us busy until late afternoon. We are recovering from the day, and giving much attention to Purrscilla Kitty who was in charge of the house most of the day. She did have her lunch set out before we left in the morning.

  38. Tedtam Avatar
    Tedtam

    I just remembered I have MHarper’s phone number – she’s okay, but is having hardware problems and can’t post. She is alive and kicking, so we can take the warning flags down. She did ask that if anyone can help, she’d appreciate some computer assistance.

  39. Shannon Avatar
    Shannon

    Good grief. I forgot I have Harper’s number, too.

  40. Tedtam Avatar
    Tedtam

    This is a fun video, especially the Biden impressions:
    https://twitter.com/JesseBWatters/status/1780053497217785946

  41. Texpat Avatar
    Texpat

    Somebody needs to call Harper and get her damned address on the record. She has nobody else in her life but the 80 something year old guy next door who just got married and probably has had a heart attack trying to relive the romantic manhood of his twenties.

  42. Texpat Avatar
    Texpat

    The only way anyone can give Harper assistance with her computer problems is on the phone. Since it’s a hardware problem, she has no internet access and no email, apparently. The only people who have her number are Tedtam and Shannon.

  43. Shannon Avatar
    Shannon

    I have the address and number. So does Tedtam.

  44. squawkbox Avatar
    squawkbox

    If Mharper has a. hardware problem one would need to be sitting right in front of the computer. I have done my share of phone fixes but the problems required internet. LOADED QUESTION. What is the computer not doing.

  45. squawkbox Avatar
    squawkbox

    MHarper’s fix might have to begin with Best Buy. They can fix it and if not she is right thee to buy another.

  46. GJT Avatar
    GJT

    Shannon –

    My wife actually does normally drive to Memphis. About 8 1/2-9 hour drive. Last year she did fly (American, I think) and it was much more enjoyable, even though the return flight had issues and she sat in the Memphis airport most of the day. Problem with flying is she has to rent a car if she is not staying at the Guest House Hotel at Graceland.

    1. Shannon Avatar
      Shannon

      Well, I’m going to use Uber for the first time while I am there for thee days. I may regret it.
      But life is no fun without some kind of new adventure.

  47. Tedtam Avatar
    Tedtam

    I’ve been looking into doing stuff with polymer clay. I can make artisan beads for my rosaries. I also saw that I might be able to make the crucifixes with the clay, by using one that I have to make a mold and cast future pieces. Since some of those run up to $5 each (depending on size), it might save me some money.

    And it looks like fun.

  48. Shannon Avatar
    Shannon

    Three of us talked to Harper tonight.
    I was the last one to talk to her. She knew who I was. I asked her quite a few questions about various subjects. She was pretty cogent and responded pretty well.
    She bought some kind of new computer rig but getting it running right is less of a priority right now than getting her taxes in order.

    Yes, There is a problem there. But I’m calling it “no emergency” as of now.

  49. squawkbox Avatar
    squawkbox

    Shannon
    So I take it the computer is not broken broke as in broke. At your leisure give Harper my phone number. have her call me and i will give it a shot getting her on line.

    1. Shannon Avatar
      Shannon

      Okay.
      Keep in mind it may take a minute for her to remember you.
      But, then, you of all people know about dealing with such circumstances.

  50. Shannon Avatar
    Shannon

    I truly hate this whole Alzheimer’s/dementia thing.
    I just buried a 62-year-old good friend and victim of it last weekend.

  51. Shannon Avatar
    Shannon

    https://youtu.be/MvcIDtmt4qo?si=vndPas3uFtGGU2kW

  52. squawkbox Avatar
    squawkbox

    Alzheimer’s/dementia are truly one of Satan’s must evil and heinous diseases.

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