How Much Will the TSA’s New Procedures Actually Improve Air Safety?

How much actual good is being accomplished by the TSA and the new “enhanced pat-downs” and the nude-o-scopes? Here’s a chart from our friends at Gizmodo that may illuminate things just a bit.

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From the chart, we can see that there were 4 successful airline terrorist attacks in a ten-year period from 1999 to 2009, out of six attempts. The two failures are noteworthy in that they happened well after 9/11, yet the perpetrators were not stopped by TSA or its sister agencies elsewhere. They were, in fact, stopped by the last line of defense, the passengers. According to Janet Incompetano, “The system worked.” Even more noteworthy is that in the case of the most recent attempt, there were many obvious clues passed to official channels warning of the attempt that were promptly ignored.

We clearly deserve much better. The current assault on our rights, our privacy, our liberty, and our naughty bits is all theater and no substance. These procedures would not have prevented either of the failed attempts and a case could be made they would not have prevented 9/11 as well. Given the rarity of attacks, let alone successful ones, the current procedures are gross overkill.

Some perspective is in order.

Middle Eastern terrorists hijack a U.S. jetliner bound for Italy. A two-week drama ensues in which the plane’s occupants are split into groups and held hostage in secret locations in Lebanon and Syria.

While this drama is unfolding, another group of terrorists detonates a bomb in the luggage hold of a 747 over the North Atlantic, killing more than 300 people.

Not long afterward, terrorists kill 19 people and wound more than a hundred others in coordinated attacks at European airport ticket counters.

A few months later, a U.S. airliner is bombed over Greece, killing four passengers.

Five months after that, another U.S. airliner is stormed by heavily armed terrorists at the airport in Karachi, Pakistan, killing at least 20 people and wounding 150 more.

Things are quiet for a while, until two years later when a 747 bound for New York is blown up over Europe killing 270 passengers and crew.

Nine months from then, a French airliner en route to Paris is bombed over Africa, killing 170 people from 17 countries.

Could you imagine what would happen if something like that were to happen? I would wager that if the scenario above were to transpire now, the world would practically roll up its collective sidewalks, go inside, curl up in a corner, and whimper and suck its thumb.

You want to know something interesting? The events above did happen. In a four-year period in the late 1980’s, skyjackers went nuts. Want to know something else? These were all the result of crazed Lutherans going wild (quelle surprise). They followed an approximately eight-year gap from the prior non-Lutheran skyjacking activity.

The big problem with air security is that it becomes vanishingly difficult to improve once you’ve managed to essentially eliminate the problem. I’m not saying that improvements should not be made; they should be, but they should be cost-effective – especially when seen in light of the benefits that are actually available to be accrued vs. the cost in terms of dollars, loss of liberty, and simple decency.


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44 responses to “How Much Will the TSA’s New Procedures Actually Improve Air Safety?”

  1. Super Dave Avatar
    Super Dave

    If that doesn’t prove that the terrorists have accomplished their mission, I don’t know what would.

  2. El Gordo Avatar

    If that doesn’t prove that the terrorists have accomplished their mission, I don’t know what would.

  3. Tedtam Avatar

    There goes Wagonburner, making sense again.

    Wagon for President!

  4. Tedtam Avatar

    There goes Wagonburner, making sense again.

    Wagon for President!

  5. El Gordo Avatar

    The current assault on our rights, our privacy, our liberty, and our naughty bits is all theater and no substance.

    That says it all right there.

  6. The Dude Avatar

    The current assault on our rights, our privacy, our liberty, and our naughty bits is all theater and no substance.

    That says it all right there.

  7. Adee Avatar
    Adee

    Adopt the Israeli security measures and things will go better for everyone. Except the terrorists that is.

    I know, gulp, that means profiling. Tough darts. Political correctness is a suicide pact. Wagonburner’s right. When’s the last time Vikings or marauding Druids wreaked the same havoc?

  8. Adee Avatar
    Adee

    Adopt the Israeli security measures and things will go better for everyone. Except the terrorists that is.

    I know, gulp, that means profiling. Tough darts. Political correctness is a suicide pact. Wagonburner’s right. When’s the last time Vikings or marauding Druids wreaked the same havoc?

  9. OletimerLin Avatar
    OletimerLin

    My “bits” are not naughty, and even if they were they would still be none of the gubmint’s business.

  10. bob42 Avatar

    My “bits” are not naughty, and even if they were they would still be none of the gubmint’s business.

  11. GJT Avatar
    GJT

    G’Morning all
    It all makes perfect sense once you realize that the TSA has one and only one critical mission: to make sure the U.S. government is never accused of discrimination.

    That’s why TSA officials react with pride to pictures of federal employees groping screaming toddlers and touching nuns between their legs.

    Pictures like that prove that the U.S. government isn’t targeting young men of the Muslim faith.

    TSA Administrator John Pistole said Tuesday it is “irresponsible” to boycott the Let’s-See-Your-Nude-Body scanners, as some enraged travelers are suggesting. “On the eve of a major national holiday and less than one year after al-Qaeda’s failed attack last Christmas Day, it is irresponsible for a group to suggest travelers opt out of the very screening that may prevent an attack using non-metallic explosives,” Pistole said.

    So that’s how it works. If a terrorist puts a bomb in his shoe, we all have to take off our shoes. If a terrorist puts explosives in a shampoo bottle, we all have to throw out our shampoo. If a terrorist plots to smuggle plastic explosives in his lower intestine, the TSA going to subject random travelers to colonoscopies.

    That’s where this kind of thinking will take us.

    Unless we have enhanced screening of people who fit the profile of Muslim terrorists, no amount of frisking and groping at the airport is going to make us safer.

    It’s not bigoted. It’s reasonable.

    If terrorists wanted to kill Americans in the name of Yahweh or Jesus or Aqua Buddha, we’d be perfectly justified in imposing a little extra scrutiny on Jews or Christians or Rand Paul donors.

    Instead of rudely and menacingly treating every U.S. traveler as an equal threat, let’s screen passengers according to common-sense profiles. Let’s do it politely and apologize for the inconvenience.

  12. OletimerLin Avatar
    OletimerLin

    G’Morning all
    It all makes perfect sense once you realize that the TSA has one and only one critical mission: to make sure the U.S. government is never accused of discrimination.

    That’s why TSA officials react with pride to pictures of federal employees groping screaming toddlers and touching nuns between their legs.

    Pictures like that prove that the U.S. government isn’t targeting young men of the Muslim faith.

    TSA Administrator John Pistole said Tuesday it is “irresponsible” to boycott the Let’s-See-Your-Nude-Body scanners, as some enraged travelers are suggesting. “On the eve of a major national holiday and less than one year after al-Qaeda’s failed attack last Christmas Day, it is irresponsible for a group to suggest travelers opt out of the very screening that may prevent an attack using non-metallic explosives,” Pistole said.

    So that’s how it works. If a terrorist puts a bomb in his shoe, we all have to take off our shoes. If a terrorist puts explosives in a shampoo bottle, we all have to throw out our shampoo. If a terrorist plots to smuggle plastic explosives in his lower intestine, the TSA going to subject random travelers to colonoscopies.

    That’s where this kind of thinking will take us.

    Unless we have enhanced screening of people who fit the profile of Muslim terrorists, no amount of frisking and groping at the airport is going to make us safer.

    It’s not bigoted. It’s reasonable.

    If terrorists wanted to kill Americans in the name of Yahweh or Jesus or Aqua Buddha, we’d be perfectly justified in imposing a little extra scrutiny on Jews or Christians or Rand Paul donors.

    Instead of rudely and menacingly treating every U.S. traveler as an equal threat, let’s screen passengers according to common-sense profiles. Let’s do it politely and apologize for the inconvenience.

  13. GJT Avatar
    GJT

    Here’s a little history for you. After the U.S. Civil War, as the 39th Congress wrote and debated what became the Fourteenth Amendment to the Constitution, the chairman of the House Judiciary Committee reminded the lawmakers that what they were trying to do was guarantee fundamental rights to all Americans. To explain these rights, Rep. James F. Wilson stood on the floor of the House and read aloud from the chapter in William Blackstone’s Commentaries on the Laws of England entitled “The Absolute Rights of Individuals.”

    “These may be reduced to three principal or primary articles,” he read.

    First, “The right of personal security in a person’s legal and uninterrupted enjoyment of his life.”

    Second, “the personal liberty of individuals in the power of locomotion, of changing situations or moving one’s person to whatsoever place one’s own inclination may direct, without imprisonment, or restraint, unless by due course of law.”

    And finally, “The third absolute right, of property: which consists in the free use, enjoyment and disposal of all his acquisitions, without any control or diminution, save only by the laws of the land.”

    Travel is number two on a list of three.

    If you care about freedom you should be very alarmed that the government is restraining and threatening innocent travelers, like John Tyner.

    Americans have a fundamental right to travel. It’s not good enough to say, as Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano did, that Americans have the right “to travel by some other means.” If we wanted to be restricted to our own village we would have agreed to live under Sharia law by now.

    Here’s a suggestion for a holiday travel protest: Print out Blackstone’s Fundamental Rights, fold the paper into the shape of a tea bag, and tape it to your crotch.

    Let’s see how long it takes the TSA to add “inflammatory rhetoric” to its list of prohibited items.

  14. OletimerLin Avatar
    OletimerLin

    Here’s a little history for you. After the U.S. Civil War, as the 39th Congress wrote and debated what became the Fourteenth Amendment to the Constitution, the chairman of the House Judiciary Committee reminded the lawmakers that what they were trying to do was guarantee fundamental rights to all Americans. To explain these rights, Rep. James F. Wilson stood on the floor of the House and read aloud from the chapter in William Blackstone’s Commentaries on the Laws of England entitled “The Absolute Rights of Individuals.”

    “These may be reduced to three principal or primary articles,” he read.

    First, “The right of personal security in a person’s legal and uninterrupted enjoyment of his life.”

    Second, “the personal liberty of individuals in the power of locomotion, of changing situations or moving one’s person to whatsoever place one’s own inclination may direct, without imprisonment, or restraint, unless by due course of law.”

    And finally, “The third absolute right, of property: which consists in the free use, enjoyment and disposal of all his acquisitions, without any control or diminution, save only by the laws of the land.”

    Travel is number two on a list of three.

    If you care about freedom you should be very alarmed that the government is restraining and threatening innocent travelers, like John Tyner.

    Americans have a fundamental right to travel. It’s not good enough to say, as Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano did, that Americans have the right “to travel by some other means.” If we wanted to be restricted to our own village we would have agreed to live under Sharia law by now.

    Here’s a suggestion for a holiday travel protest: Print out Blackstone’s Fundamental Rights, fold the paper into the shape of a tea bag, and tape it to your crotch.

    Let’s see how long it takes the TSA to add “inflammatory rhetoric” to its list of prohibited items.

  15. bweldon Avatar
    bweldon

    I will no longer fly except on business. Because I will not allow some complete stranger get a view of my 2 daughters. I will have enough problems with the boys in the area who are trying to explain why they have to be full body scanned at the ages of 12 and 8. Disney, we will drive. I will suffer with 14 hours in the car and an extra day of vacation spent for the trip.

  16. bweldon Avatar
    bweldon

    I will no longer fly except on business. Because I will not allow some complete stranger get a view of my 2 daughters. I will have enough problems with the boys in the area who are trying to explain why they have to be full body scanned at the ages of 12 and 8. Disney, we will drive. I will suffer with 14 hours in the car and an extra day of vacation spent for the trip.

  17. Katfish Avatar

    Let’s see how long it takes the TSA to add “inflammatory rhetoric” to its list of prohibited items.

    I wonder what would happen if one were to take some aluminum foil and cut out stencil letters and glue them to their undershirt as a protest?

    “TSA = Perverts”
    “You missed a spot”
    “Fondle this”
    “Apply lips here” (with arrow)

  18. wagonburner Avatar
    wagonburner

    Let’s see how long it takes the TSA to add “inflammatory rhetoric” to its list of prohibited items.

    I wonder what would happen if one were to take some aluminum foil and cut out stencil letters and glue them to their undershirt as a protest?

    “TSA = Perverts”
    “You missed a spot”
    “Fondle this”
    “Apply lips here” (with arrow)

  19. GJT Avatar
    GJT

    Speaking of basic rights

    Michelle promised to re-introduce her Healthy Food Initiative to Congress in January. Does this intrude on a citizen’s right to eat what he wants?

    The next thing you know she’ll demand that Mississippi lower the McDonald’s flag flying over the state capitol.

  20. OletimerLin Avatar
    OletimerLin

    Speaking of basic rights

    Michelle promised to re-introduce her Healthy Food Initiative to Congress in January. Does this intrude on a citizen’s right to eat what he wants?

    The next thing you know she’ll demand that Mississippi lower the McDonald’s flag flying over the state capitol.

  21. Hamous Avatar

    #4 ADEE wins the prize! The solution is to target the terrorists, not “be fair”. Profile and focus on those who are most likely to commit the crime and deal harshly with those caught in the attempt. Of course this will require a complete re-think of the PC insanity that is designed to destroy this country. The same logic can be applied to other crime in this country, target the criminals and not the tools (guns). The logic of gun control laws to combat gun crime is like targeting pencils for misspelled words. The same stupidity is being used in the TSA fiasco.
    Here is something to really get torqued off about: Next Wed every airport in the country is going to be packed to overcapacity; the terrorist(s) does not have to get on the plane to wreak havoc, all he/they have to do is get inside the building and get in the middle of the crowds and then detonate. There now, doesn’t that give you the warm and fuzzies?

  22. Bonecrusher Avatar
    Bonecrusher

    #4 ADEE wins the prize! The solution is to target the terrorists, not “be fair”. Profile and focus on those who are most likely to commit the crime and deal harshly with those caught in the attempt. Of course this will require a complete re-think of the PC insanity that is designed to destroy this country. The same logic can be applied to other crime in this country, target the criminals and not the tools (guns). The logic of gun control laws to combat gun crime is like targeting pencils for misspelled words. The same stupidity is being used in the TSA fiasco.
    Here is something to really get torqued off about: Next Wed every airport in the country is going to be packed to overcapacity; the terrorist(s) does not have to get on the plane to wreak havoc, all he/they have to do is get inside the building and get in the middle of the crowds and then detonate. There now, doesn’t that give you the warm and fuzzies?

  23. Adee Avatar
    Adee

    #11 Bonecrusher, umm, what do I win? 🙂

    It will be interesting to see how long it takes for Big Sis Janet to back away from the intrusive, offensive groping/x-ray idiotic rigmarole. Will we have to wait until the new Congress convenes? Will some outgoing Dems at last decide to do something really useful for their constituents and raise hell about this? Stay tuned.

  24. Adee Avatar
    Adee

    #11 Bonecrusher, umm, what do I win? 🙂

    It will be interesting to see how long it takes for Big Sis Janet to back away from the intrusive, offensive groping/x-ray idiotic rigmarole. Will we have to wait until the new Congress convenes? Will some outgoing Dems at last decide to do something really useful for their constituents and raise hell about this? Stay tuned.

  25. Hamous Avatar

    #12 The prize is an extra grope from a TSA Authority:>)

  26. Bonecrusher Avatar
    Bonecrusher

    #12 The prize is an extra grope from a TSA Authority:>)

  27. wagonburner Avatar
    wagonburner

    How to end the nude-o-scope scans quickly and easily using our illegal guests.

  28. Adee Avatar
    Adee

    #14 wagonburner, Yesss!

  29. Adee Avatar
    Adee

    #14 wagonburner, Yesss!

  30. GJT Avatar
    GJT

    Pelosi expected to remain House Democrats’ leader
    AP

    FOX News – Pelosi Fights to Keep Leadership Post

    By CHARLES BABINGTON, Associated Press Charles Babington, Associated Press

    WASHINGTON – Despite suffering near-historic election losses this month, House Democrats moved closer Wednesday to keeping their leadership team intact, with Nancy Pelosi of California still in the party’s top job.

    Her allies predicted she would win overwhelmingly, particularly given the 129-68 vote to defeat an effort by Pelosi’s critics to postpone the leadership election until next month.

    Heath Shuler is a former NFL quarterback. Pelosi HAS to win.

    The last thing we need is another woman sitting next to Gloria Allred and sobbing about what a quarterback did to her.

  31. OletimerLin Avatar
    OletimerLin

    Pelosi expected to remain House Democrats’ leader
    AP

    FOX News – Pelosi Fights to Keep Leadership Post

    By CHARLES BABINGTON, Associated Press Charles Babington, Associated Press

    WASHINGTON – Despite suffering near-historic election losses this month, House Democrats moved closer Wednesday to keeping their leadership team intact, with Nancy Pelosi of California still in the party’s top job.

    Her allies predicted she would win overwhelmingly, particularly given the 129-68 vote to defeat an effort by Pelosi’s critics to postpone the leadership election until next month.

    Heath Shuler is a former NFL quarterback. Pelosi HAS to win.

    The last thing we need is another woman sitting next to Gloria Allred and sobbing about what a quarterback did to her.

  32. gtotracker Avatar
    gtotracker

    The only case I know of a commercial pilot intentionally crashing his plane was Gamil al_Batouti on EgyptAir 990 in 1997. Something about ‘crash caused by manipulation of controls’. I don’t remember it ever being called, officially, a suicide. Can’t offend some people’s sensibilities. None of these methods will stop a suicidal pilot so why make them go through it.

  33. gtotracker Avatar
    gtotracker

    The only case I know of a commercial pilot intentionally crashing his plane was Gamil al_Batouti on EgyptAir 990 in 1997. Something about ‘crash caused by manipulation of controls’. I don’t remember it ever being called, officially, a suicide. Can’t offend some people’s sensibilities. None of these methods will stop a suicidal pilot so why make them go through it.

  34. Hamous Avatar

    83% at last tally to this CBS pole think that the TSA has gone too far. There is growing consensus that we need to move towards the Israeli model, you know one that actually works.

  35. Bonecrusher Avatar
    Bonecrusher

    83% at last tally to this CBS pole think that the TSA has gone too far. There is growing consensus that we need to move towards the Israeli model, you know one that actually works.

  36. SC Avatar
    SC

    My wife returned from Tampa yesterday evening. Because she moved her arm while in the scanner she was also subjected to the pat down. Talk about madder than a hornet.

  37. SC Avatar
    SC

    My wife returned from Tampa yesterday evening. Because she moved her arm while in the scanner she was also subjected to the pat down. Talk about madder than a hornet.

  38. Katfish Avatar

    #18 bone & #19 sc
    Just wait and see what Thanksgiving dinner conversations will be like. Families dealing with little kids getting over stimulated in a crowded airport who then get to a nude-o-scanner to have their tween daughter scanned and their small children irradiated, then groped because they won’t (can’t) keep still. How many of us have had a hard time taking a picture of a kid, let alone make them stand perfectly still in a huge machine?

  39. wagonburner Avatar
    wagonburner

    #18 bone & #19 sc
    Just wait and see what Thanksgiving dinner conversations will be like. Families dealing with little kids getting over stimulated in a crowded airport who then get to a nude-o-scanner to have their tween daughter scanned and their small children irradiated, then groped because they won’t (can’t) keep still. How many of us have had a hard time taking a picture of a kid, let alone make them stand perfectly still in a huge machine?

  40. bweldon Avatar
    bweldon

    How Much Will the TSA’s New Procedures Actually Improve Air Safety?

    It is for the chillren and if this saves the life of one crumb snatcher, curtain climber, rug rat or linoleum lizard then it is worth it.

    /snark off

  41. squawkbox Avatar

    How Much Will the TSA’s New Procedures Actually Improve Air Safety?

    It is for the chillren and if this saves the life of one crumb snatcher, curtain climber, rug rat or linoleum lizard then it is worth it.

    /snark off

  42. bweldon Avatar
    bweldon

    What I am looking forward to is the first lawsuit against the TSA because some one gets skin cancer and says it is from those machines.

  43. bweldon Avatar
    bweldon

    What I am looking forward to is the first lawsuit against the TSA because some one gets skin cancer and says it is from those machines.

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