Well, here it is. Election Day 2010. Even the Democrats realize this will not be a good day for them, although some of them won’t admit it publicly.
Here are my predictions (not based on any deep research, just watching the polls):
GOP’s net gain in the House will be 72 seats. The last few days I almost convinced myself I’m sandbagging, and they could gain even more, but I’m sticking with 72. That would mean the GOP having to take only 59% of the RCP tossup seats, certainly doable.
The Senate will be a 50-50 tie. The RCP tossup seats in Colorado, Illinois, Nevada and Pennsylvania will be GOP pickups, pushing the Republicans to 49. The remaining tossups are California, Washington, and West Virginia. I believe West Virginia will go GOP to make it 50. Now I’m “going rogue”. There are 33 Senate seats up for reelection in 2012. 23 of those are Democrats (counting the two independents that caucus with them), including Ben Nelson of Nebraska. I predict shortly after inauguration day Nelson will switch parties and run as a Republican in 2012.
Governors will be 32-18 in favor of the GOP. Completely wild guess.
Here are a couple of billboards captured by Wagonburner in the Dallas area:
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